Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.218664 0.252664 0.290028 0.334111 0.384679 0.440851 0.507968
2024-10-20 0.167948 0.212694 0.266317 0.335219 0.421325 0.525301 0.660332
2024-10-27 0.126630 0.174514 0.236653 0.322988 0.439634 0.591555 0.804275
2024-11-03 0.103910 0.154839 0.225963 0.332131 0.486173 0.701094 1.023278
2024-11-10 0.087155 0.139662 0.218153 0.343357 0.537340 0.825610 1.285563
2024-11-17 0.071326 0.122386 0.203748 0.341839 0.569283 0.927658 1.533447
2024-11-24 0.058842 0.107664 0.190255 0.338799 0.597788 1.028641 1.796891
2024-12-01 0.049343 0.095904 0.179218 0.337416 0.628270 1.137174 2.090645
2024-12-08 0.042112 0.086649 0.170657 0.338501 0.662788 1.257521 2.424303
2024-12-15 0.037045 0.080417 0.166380 0.346510 0.711032 1.409466 2.839551
2024-12-22 0.031829 0.072754 0.157827 0.344429 0.739162 1.527750 3.209547
2024-12-29 0.028418 0.068193 0.154657 0.352613 0.789078 1.695670 3.703815
2025-01-05 0.024332 0.061350 0.145567 0.346943 0.809955 1.810249 4.112183
2025-01-12 0.021661 0.057256 0.141815 0.352531 0.856642 1.986938 4.683433
2025-01-19 0.018454 0.051134 0.132185 0.342622 0.866282 2.084360 5.095493
2025-01-26 0.016890 0.048897 0.131523 0.354367 0.929464 2.313327 5.848244
2025-02-02 0.015579 0.047056 0.131509 0.367775 0.999207 2.568813 6.705894
2025-02-09 0.013824 0.043564 0.126496 0.367138 1.033047 2.742661 7.391127
2025-02-16 0.012235 0.040191 0.121139 0.364544 1.061297 2.907050 8.079313
2025-02-23 0.010912 0.037322 0.116639 0.363509 1.093688 3.087349 8.838710
2025-03-02 0.009835 0.034979 0.113218 0.364982 1.133516 3.293863 9.702544
2025-03-09 0.009086 0.033548 0.112279 0.373812 1.196510 3.573933 10.815882
2025-03-16 0.008144 0.031227 0.108092 0.371716 1.226373 3.765503 11.707768